Will Trump's Tariffs Tip the Economy Into a Recession?
President Donald Trump's harsher-than-expected global tariffs sent economists scrambling to revise their economic estimates.
Where Will Consumers Go?
The concern about consumers makes sense; tariffs will squeeze already stretched household budgets and put downward pressure ...
Near-Term Inflation Expectations Surge
President Trump's new tariffs have sent expectations of inflation over the next year shooting higher. The CPI swaps market—a venue for betting on future inflation—now reflects expectations that ...