Is a Big Asteroid Going to Hit Earth in 2032?
No, or at least not because of the 2024 YR asteroid. First off, there is currently only about a one-in-43 chance that this rock hits Earth, and those odds will change (and probably go down) as scientists gather more data on the recently spotted asteroid. A nearly 98 percent chance it won’t hit us is pretty good.
A newly discovered asteroid named 2024 YR4 now has a 2.2% chance of affecting Earth in 2032 after recent observations.
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A 1-in-83 chance of an impact represented a 1.2% chance of an impact. That meant there was a 98.8% that 2024 YR4 would miss ...
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