An asteroid nearly the size of a football field now has roughly a 0.28% chance of hitting Earth in about eight years, NASA says — though at one point earlier its estimate reached as high as 3.1%.
The narrow difference is due to the two agencies’ use of different tools for determining the asteroid’s orbit and modeling its potential impact. But both percentages rise above the 2.7% chance ...
Update: The odds of asteroid 2024 YR4 striking Earth in 2032 have fallen to 1.5%, NASA announced Wednesday. Read the latest. The risk that an increasingly ominous asteroid dubbed 2024 YR4 will ...
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