Number of electoral votes and the probability of a Democratic or Republican win in each state. Outlined states are most likely to give the winner their 270th Electoral College vote. Use the table ...

ABC News politics reporter Brittany Shepherd shares insight into what surrogates said about the candidates' performance in ...

The post Nate Silver Accuses FiveThirtyEight of Playing Politics With Election Model: ‘They’re Waiting Until’ Kamala Harris ...

The former president is polling better in Wisconsin now than he was in 2020, when he lost by less than a point.

The vice president has enjoyed a polls boost since being widely considered the winner of the September 10 ABC debate against ...

The 538 crew discusses how the issue of reproductive rights played a bigger role in the Harris-Trump debate compared to the ...

SoCal Strategies/On Point Politics/Red Eagle Politics found Harris leading Trump ... We recommend keeping an eye on 538's ...

Democrats have leaned into themes of "joy" and "freedom" this week. Welcome to 538's politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. tia.yang (Tia Yang, senior editor): This week ...

No one knows who will win, but these are the key dynamics that will shape the race as both campaigns prepare for next week’s ...

The FiveThirtyEight polling average showed him beating Donald Trump by 10.7 points, a victory that would have been the ...

Welcome to the online version of From the Politics Desk, an evening newsletter that brings you the NBC News Politics team’s latest reporting and analysis from the campaign trail ...